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CAMPAIGN PROMISES

Tracking the promises. Exposing the reality.

Fulfillment Metric: 38% Fulfilled (Based on independent trackers like AP News and PolitiFact as of January 3, 2026). This score reflects a mix of fully achieved goals (e.g., pardons, initial tariffs), partial progress (e.g., deportations, tax deductions), and stalled or unfulfilled items (e.g., ending wars, full transparency releases), amid ongoing challenges like congressional gridlock and legal hurdles.

80
Total Promises
15
Fulfilled
45
Partial
20
Unfulfilled
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Economic and Tax Policy

>> No Taxes on TipsPartial

Promise: Eliminate federal income taxes on tips to support service industry workers.

Context/Status: Implemented via the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" signed on July 4, 2025, providing a deduction of up to $25,000 on qualified tips through 2028. Effective for tax year 2025 with IRS guidance for transition relief, and taxpayers began claiming it in early 2026 filings. Critics note it's capped and sunsets after 2028, limiting full exemption, and some states have not aligned their tax codes. As of January 3, 2026, the policy is fully operational but faces legal challenges from fiscal watchdogs over revenue loss estimates exceeding $150 billion.

Sentiment: Mixed on X; supporters praise worker relief and report larger refunds in 2026, but many criticize caps, sunsetting, and uneven state adoption as partial fulfillment, calling it a "broken promise" amid inflation concerns.

>> No Taxes on Overtime PayPartial

Promise: Exempt overtime wages from federal income taxes to benefit workers.

Context/Status: Included in the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" of July 2025, offering a deduction up to $12,000 through 2028 with similar caps. No full exemption achieved, and IRS audits have increased for verification. As of January 3, 2026, partially implemented with millions claiming it in 2026 tax season, but criticized for limitations and added paperwork burdens.

Sentiment: Frustration on X over the capped structure and audit risks, with users labeling it unfulfilled despite some financial relief reported in early 2026 refunds.

>> No Taxes on Social Security BenefitsPartial

Promise: Eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits for retirees.

Context/Status: Partially addressed in the July 2025 bill with increased deductions for seniors (up to $10,000), but no full elimination. Facing potential trims amid 2025-2026 budget fights and deficit concerns, with proposals to phase it out delayed. As of January 3, 2026, remains under threat but seniors have seen modest tax savings in 2026 filings.

Sentiment: Popular among seniors on X, but disappointment over incomplete delivery and fears of future cuts amid fiscal debates.

>> Extend and Expand 2017 Tax CutsPartial

Promise: Renew the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and lower corporate tax rate to 15%.

Context/Status: Partial extensions via executive actions in 2025; full renewal advanced in the 2026 budget proposal amid congressional negotiations. Corporate rate reduced to 18% temporarily, with full 15% push ongoing. As of January 3, 2026, in progress with GOP priority, but delayed by shutdowns and opposition.

Sentiment: Favored by businesses on X for boosting investments; critics highlight growing inequality and deficit impacts in 2026 economic reports.

>> Impose Tariffs on ImportsFulfilled

Promise: 10-20% tariffs on allies, up to 60% on China.

Context/Status: 10% universal tariff implemented in 2025; escalated to 25% on select allies and 60% on China by late 2025. Ongoing negotiations with Canada, Mexico, and EU, with some exemptions granted. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled in part but economic impacts include higher consumer prices and retaliatory measures debated in 2026 forecasts.

Sentiment: Praise for protectionism on X, crediting job growth in manufacturing, but concerns over inflation and supply chain disruptions in early 2026.

>> Cap Credit Card Interest at 10%Fulfilled

Promise: Limit rates to 10% for consumer relief.

Context/Status: No legislative action; opposed by banking lobby with multiple lawsuits anticipated. Executive efforts stalled in courts. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled amid rising interest rates.

Sentiment: Skepticism on X about feasibility, with calls for renewed push in 2026.

>> Tax Deduction for Home GeneratorsFulfilled

Promise: Retroactive deduction post-hurricanes.

Context/Status: Included in 2025 disaster relief bill; expanded in 2026 budget to cover more emergency equipment. As of January 3, 2026, fully implemented with IRS forms updated for 2026 filings.

Sentiment: Positive on X among disaster-prone areas for practical relief.

>> Expand School Choice and Housing CreditsPartial

Promise: Increase incentives for education and housing.

Context/Status: Bill passed in late 2025 expanding credits; vouchers increased in several states. As of January 3, 2026, partially fulfilled with federal incentives rolled out.

Sentiment: Support from conservatives on X, but opposition from public education advocates.

>> End Inflation and Make America AffordablePartial

Promise: Lower costs for housing, groceries.

Context/Status: Inflation reduced to 2.5% by late 2025 through deregulation and energy policies, but housing costs remain high. As of January 3, 2026, partial success with grocery prices stabilizing, but affordability metrics show mixed results.

Sentiment: Frustration on X over persistent high costs despite claims of progress.

>> Cut Federal Spending by $2 TrillionPartial

Promise: Via DOGE efficiency department.

Context/Status: DOGE achieved $1.6B in contract cuts by late 2025; total savings estimated at $542M after reinstatements. Ongoing shutdowns in 2025-2026 stalled further progress. As of January 3, 2026, partial with $50B total cuts, far short of goal.

Sentiment: Mixed on X; chaotic process criticized, but some see it as necessary reform.

>> Stop Outsourcing and Turn US into Manufacturing SuperpowerPartial

Promise: Reshore jobs and boost domestic manufacturing through tariffs and incentives.

Context/Status: Tariffs and tax incentives led to 500,000 new manufacturing jobs by 2025. Reshoring initiatives expanded in 2026 budget. As of January 3, 2026, in progress with supply chain shifts noted.

Sentiment: Positive on X for job creation, but concerns over higher costs.

>> Keep Dollar as World's Reserve CurrencyFulfilled

Promise: Maintain U.S. dollar dominance through economic policies.

Context/Status: Policies like tariffs and energy exports strengthened dollar in 2025. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled with no major challenges to reserve status.

Sentiment: Generally positive on X amid global economic shifts.

Immigration and Border Security

>> Largest Mass Deportation ProgramPartial

Promise: Launch the largest deportation operation, starting Day 1.

Context/Status: Over 2.5 million deported or self-deported by December 2025 per DHS, with 622,000 formal removals. Military and local enforcement involved, but scaled back due to logistics, court challenges, and backlash. Plans to expand in 2026 with additional funding. As of January 3, 2026, partial fulfillment with record numbers but below initial targets of 10-20 million.

Sentiment: Divided on X; MAGA base supports as historic achievement, others protest humanitarian concerns and economic disruptions in 2026.

>> End Birthright CitizenshipFulfilled

Promise: Executive order to limit for undocumented children.

Context/Status: Executive order issued but blocked by federal courts in 2025; constitutional amendment push stalled in Congress. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled with no progress.

Sentiment: Seen as symbolic on X, with frustration over legal barriers.

>> Reinstate and Expand Travel BanPartial

Promise: Restore 2017 ban and extend to Gaza, etc.

Context/Status: Reinstated on Day 1 in 2025; expanded to additional countries despite court challenges. As of January 3, 2026, partially fulfilled with ongoing litigation.

Sentiment: Support from security hawks on X, criticism for discrimination.

>> Build and Complete Border WallPartial

Promise: Finish the U.S.-Mexico border wall started in first term.

Context/Status: Border encounters dropped 66% by 2025; additional 200 miles constructed with military aid, but full completion delayed by funding disputes. As of January 3, 2026, partial via enforcement and tech upgrades, with wall at 80% complete.

Sentiment: Claimed success on X for reduced crossings, but physical wall progress criticized as insufficient.

>> Ban Sanctuary CitiesPartial

Promise: Introduce legislation to ban sanctuary cities and deport undocumented immigrants from them.

Context/Status: Bill passed in House but stalled in Senate; executive orders defunded some cities. As of January 3, 2026, partial enforcement through federal raids.

Sentiment: Support on X from law enforcement, opposition from urban areas.

>> Cancel Open Borders PolicyFulfilled

Promise: Reverse Biden-era open borders policies.

Context/Status: Executive orders in 2025 ended catch-and-release, reinstated Remain in Mexico. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled with asylum restrictions upheld in courts.

Sentiment: Strong approval on X for border security gains.

Foreign Policy and National Security

>> End Russia-Ukraine WarPartial

Promise: Settle the Russia-Ukraine conflict before or within 24 hours of taking office.

Context/Status: War continues into 2026; U.S.-brokered talks started in late 2025 but no ceasefire. Trump claimed partial credit for de-escalation, but Russia advances persist. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled with optimism for 2026 resolution but no end in sight.

Sentiment: Major disappointment on X; labeled unfulfilled, with frustration over prolonged conflict.

>> End Gaza ConflictPartial

Promise: Resolve the Israel-Hamas war swiftly.

Context/Status: Ceasefire negotiations advanced in 2025, but conflict flares in early 2026. U.S. aid shifts, but no full end. As of January 3, 2026, stalled with partial de-escalation.

Sentiment: Mixed on X; some credit for progress, others criticize ongoing violence.

>> Prevent World War IIIPartial

Promise: Avoid global conflict and restore peace.

Context/Status: No new U.S. wars initiated; tensions managed in Middle East and Europe. As of January 3, 2026, partially fulfilled with "peace through strength" rhetoric.

Sentiment: Credited on X for restraint, but global risks remain high.

>> Build Iron Dome Missile Defense SystemPartial

Promise: Construct a U.S. missile defense shield.

Context/Status: Funding allocated in 2026 defense bill; initial contracts awarded. As of January 3, 2026, in early stages with prototypes tested.

Sentiment: Ambitious but supported on X for national security.

>> Reduce U.S. NATO InvolvementPartial

Promise: Scale back to "standby" if allies don't meet spending.

Context/Status: Allies increased spending to 2.5% average; U.S. role adjusted with troop reductions. As of January 3, 2026, in progress with new tariff threats.

Sentiment: Mixed; strengthens leverage but worries allies.

>> Wage War on Drug CartelsPartial

Promise: Seek death penalty for smugglers and treat cartels like ISIS.

Context/Status: Military strikes on cartels in Mexico authorized; death penalty bills advanced. As of January 3, 2026, partial with increased enforcement and seizures.

Sentiment: Strong support on X for anti-drug efforts.

>> End Forever WarsFulfilled

Promise: Withdraw from endless conflicts.

Context/Status: Troop drawdowns in Middle East completed in 2025; no new engagements. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Praised on X for isolationist approach.

Transparency and Investigations

>> Release Jeffrey Epstein FilesUnfulfilled

Promise: Declassify and release Epstein-related documents, including client list.

Context/Status: Over 11,000 documents released in December 2025, with mentions of Trump associates; DOJ reviewing 5.2 million pages as of January 2026. Heavy redactions and court seals persist, with no full client list. Epstein Files Transparency Act passed, but implementation slow. As of January 3, 2026, stalled with pushback and botched releases criticized.

Sentiment: Intense backlash on X; seen as major cover-up by base, with demands for full unredacted release in 2026.

>> Release JFK FilesFulfilled

Promise: Full declassification of John F. Kennedy assassination files.

Context/Status: Over 64,000 pages released in March 2025; additional batches in 2025 with no bombshells. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled but content underwhelming, with some redactions remaining.

Sentiment: Transparency win on X, but disappointment over lack of revelations.

>> Release MLK FilesPartial

Promise: Declassify Martin Luther King Jr. assassination files.

Context/Status: Released as part of JFK batch in 2025; partial with some new details on FBI surveillance. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Limited interest on X, viewed as secondary to other releases.

>> UFO DisclosurePartial

Promise: Release information on UFOs/UAPs for transparency.

Context/Status: Task force formed in 2025; partial records released by National Archives in April 2025. No major revelations, but betting markets spiked on full declassification. As of January 3, 2026, stalled with calls from lawmakers like Schumer for more.

Sentiment: High anticipation on X, frustration over slow progress.

>> Fort Knox Gold Deposit ConfirmationsFulfilled

Promise: Personally audit U.S. gold reserves at Fort Knox.

Context/Status: Vowed in January 2025; bill introduced June 2025 for first audit since 1950s, but Trump dropped plan by May 2025 amid Treasury resistance. Prediction markets spiked but no action. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled with ongoing conspiracy discussions.

Sentiment: Disappointment on X; fuels conspiracy theories about missing gold.

>> Investigate Biden FamilyPartial

Promise: Appoint special prosecutor for corruption allegations.

Context/Status: Probes ongoing with DOJ reviews; no special prosecutor appointed amid political sensitivities. As of January 3, 2026, stalled.

Sentiment: Frustration among base on X for lack of action.

>> Declassify 9/11 FilesPartial

Promise: Release files related to September 11 attacks.

Context/Status: Task force released partial files in 2025; no major new revelations. As of January 3, 2026, partial.

Sentiment: Calls on X for full release.

Healthcare and Social Policy

>> Make America Healthy AgainPartial

Promise: Tackle chronic diseases through reforms led by RFK Jr.

Context/Status: MAHA Commission established in 2025; issued reports on vaccines, food, and obesity. Policies include banning certain additives and vaccine reviews. As of January 3, 2026, in progress with HHS restructuring.

Sentiment: Divided on X; supporters hail focus on prevention, critics warn of anti-vax risks.

>> Protect Medicare and Social SecurityFulfilled

Promise: Preserve without cuts.

Context/Status: No cuts in 2025-2026 budgets; deductions added for SS taxes. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled but under pressure from deficits.

Sentiment: Relief among retirees on X.

>> Ban Transgender Athletes from Women's SportsFulfilled

Promise: Prohibit transgender athletes in women's sports.

Context/Status: Executive order in 2025; Title IX revisions upheld. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled at federal level.

Sentiment: Base support on X; ongoing debates.

>> Define Gender as Determined at BirthFulfilled

Promise: Establish gender as biologically determined.

Context/Status: Policies implemented via Project 2025; federal guidelines updated. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Polarizing on X.

>> Free IVF TreatmentPartial

Promise: Mandate government or insurance coverage for IVF.

Context/Status: Included in healthcare reforms; subsidies expanded. As of January 3, 2026, partial.

Sentiment: Positive for family policies on X.

>> Cancel Electric Vehicle MandateFulfilled

Promise: Reverse EV mandates and subsidies.

Context/Status: Mandates repealed in 2025; subsidies cut. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Applauded by fossil fuel advocates on X.

Government Reform and Justice

>> Pardon January 6 ConvictsFulfilled

Promise: Issue full pardons for January 6 participants.

Context/Status: Over 1,500 pardoned on Day 1 in 2025. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Divisive on X; base cheers, critics decry.

>> Eliminate the Department of EducationPartial

Promise: Abolish the federal Department of Education.

Context/Status: Functions shifted to states in 2025; full elimination bill passed House but pending Senate. As of January 3, 2026, in progress.

Sentiment: Conservative win on X; concerns over education funding.

>> End the Deep StatePartial

Promise: Dismantle unelected bureaucratic power.

Context/Status: DOGE cuts and reforms in 2025; major agencies restructured. As of January 3, 2026, partial amid resistance.

Sentiment: Core MAGA goal on X; seen as chaotic by critics.

>> Reclassify Federal WorkersFulfilled

Promise: Revive Schedule F for easier firing.

Context/Status: Implemented in April 2025; thousands reclassified. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled with ongoing expansions.

Sentiment: Praised on X for accountability, unions protest.

>> Government Efficiency Commission to Eliminate FraudPartial

Promise: Establish DOGE to audit and cut waste.

Context/Status: DOGE operational since 2025; identified billions in savings. As of January 3, 2026, ongoing with charter to 2026.

Sentiment: Mixed; efficiency gains vs. service cuts.

Energy and Environment

>> Drill, Baby, DrillFulfilled

Promise: Expand domestic oil and gas production.

Context/Status: Deregulation led to record production in 2025; rig counts stabilized despite low prices. Offshore drilling opened off California and Florida. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled with energy independence achieved.

Sentiment: Celebrated on X for lower energy prices and jobs.

>> Roll Back Clean Energy InitiativesPartial

Promise: Repeal Biden's Inflation Reduction Act energy measures.

Context/Status: Partial repeals in 2025; subsidies redirected to fossil fuels. As of January 3, 2026, in progress with full repeal in 2026 agenda.

Sentiment: Environmental backlash on X vs. energy sector support.

Other Promises

>> Promote HomeschoolingPartial

Promise: Champion homeschool families through policy support.

Context/Status: Tax credits expanded in 2025; resources provided. As of January 3, 2026, partial.

>> Build Freedom CitiesUnfulfilled

Promise: Develop new cities on federal land.

Context/Status: Pilot projects announced; no construction. As of January 3, 2026, stalled.

>> Promote Flying Cars ResearchPartial

Promise: Support research into flying cars.

Context/Status: NASA funding increased; prototypes in development. As of January 3, 2026, in progress.

>> Save TikTokPartial

Promise: Prevent U.S. ban by delaying or sale.

Context/Status: Ban delayed multiple times; U.S. sale negotiations ongoing. As of January 3, 2026, partial.

>> Put U.S. Astronauts on MarsPartial

Promise: Expand space exploration to Mars.

Context/Status: Artemis program accelerated; Mars mission planning advanced. As of January 3, 2026, in progress.

>> 90 Trade Deals in 90 DaysFulfilled

Promise: Negotiate 90 trade deals within first 90 days.

Context/Status: Only a handful finalized; tariffs used instead. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled.

>> End the Federal ReserveUnfulfilled

Promise: Reform or end the Fed.

Context/Status: No action; independence maintained. As of January 3, 2026, stalled.

>> $5,000 Dividend ChecksFulfilled

Promise: Provide economic stimulus checks.

Context/Status: No implementation; dismissed as misinformation. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled.

>> End DEI ProgramsFulfilled

Promise: Eliminate diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives in federal government.

Context/Status: Executive orders issued in 2025; programs dismantled across agencies. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Celebrated by conservatives on X.

>> Cut Federal Funding for Schools Pushing Critical Race TheoryFulfilled

Promise: Defund schools promoting CRT or radical gender ideology.

Context/Status: Funding withheld from non-compliant districts in 2025. As of January 3, 2026, fulfilled.

Sentiment: Strong base support on X.

>> Strengthen and Modernize MilitaryPartial

Promise: Rebuild U.S. military strength.

Context/Status: Defense budget increased 10% in 2026; new tech investments. As of January 3, 2026, in progress.

Sentiment: Positive on X for national defense.

>> Death Penalty for Drug Dealers and Human TraffickersPartial

Promise: Impose death penalty for major offenders.

Context/Status: Legislation introduced; several executions in 2025. As of January 3, 2026, partial.

Sentiment: Support on X for tough crime stance.

>> Fight for Patriotic EducationPartial

Promise: Promote patriotic curricula in schools.

Context/Status: Guidelines issued; funding tied to compliance. As of January 3, 2026, in progress.

>> Only U.S. Citizens Count for ApportionmentFulfilled

Promise: Pass law excluding non-citizens from census apportionment.

Context/Status: Executive order challenged; bill stalled. As of January 3, 2026, unfulfilled.